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人工智能技术对制造业就业的影响效应分析--基于中国广东省制造企业用工总量与结构的调查    

Research on the Influence of Artificial Intelligence on Employment in Manufacturing Industry:Based on the Survey of Total Employment and Structure of Manufacturing Enterprises in Guangdong Province,China

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:人工智能技术对制造业就业的影响效应分析--基于中国广东省制造企业用工总量与结构的调查

英文题名:Research on the Influence of Artificial Intelligence on Employment in Manufacturing Industry:Based on the Survey of Total Employment and Structure of Manufacturing Enterprises in Guangdong Province,China

作者:彭莹莹[1];汪昕宇[1]

第一作者:彭莹莹

机构:[1]北京联合大学人力资源管理研究所,北京100023

第一机构:北京联合大学生物化学工程学院

年份:2020

卷号:20

期号:5

起止页码:68-76

中文期刊名:北京工业大学学报:社会科学版

收录:CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;CSSCI:【CSSCI_E2019_2020】;

基金:国家社会科学基金重点项目(19AGL025);北京社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA09);中国劳动和社会保障科学研究院2018年“人工智能对广东就业影响研究”项目。

语种:中文

中文关键词:人工智能技术;制造业;用工总量;用工结构

外文关键词:artificial intelligence technology;manufacturing industry;aggregate employment;employment structure

摘要:人工智能与制造业深度融合是推动制造业转型升级、实现高质量发展的关键,受替代效应和创造效应的共同作用,人工智能对制造业就业的影响方向和程度存在不确定性。针对广东省270家制造企业的分析结果显示,人工智能应用对制造企业用工总量、结构、需求以及员工收入等都会产生明显影响,尤其是AI技术应用比例、应用时间、是否制定计划、应用首要动机、生产性人员占比等是影响用工数量变化的主要因素,需要从产业政策、人才培养和社会保障等方面提出保障建议。
The deep integration of artificial intelligence(AI)with manufacturing is the key to promoting the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing and achieving high-quality development.Due to the combined effect of substitution and creation,the direction and extent of AI′s impact on manufacturing employment are uncertain.The analysis results of 270 manufacturing companies in Guangdong Province show that the application of AI will have a significant impact on the total employment,structure,demand and employee income of the manufacturing companies,especially the proportion of AI technology application,application time,whether to make AI plans,and application priority motivation and the proportion of productive personnel are the main factors that affect the changes in the number of employees.It is necessary to put forward security suggestions from industrial policies,personnel training and social security.

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