文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Plausible response of urban encroachment on ecological land to tourism growth and implications for sustainable management, a case study of Zhangjiajie, China

作者：Liu, Shidong[1];Zhang, Jianjun[1,2];Geng, Yuhuan[3,4];Li, Jiao[1];Wang, Yibo[1];Zhang, Jie[5]

第一作者：Liu, Shidong

通讯作者：Geng, YH[1]

机构：[1]China Univ Geosci Beijing, Sch Land Sci & Technol, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China;[2]Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Land Consolidat & Rehabil, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China;[3]Beijing Union Univ, Tourism Coll, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;[4]Univ Quebec Montreal, Inst Environm Sci, Dept Biol Sci, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada;[5]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China

第一机构：China Univ Geosci Beijing, Sch Land Sci & Technol, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

通讯机构：[1]corresponding author), Beijing Union Univ, Tourism Coll, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.|[1141732]北京联合大学旅游学院;[11417]北京联合大学;

年份：2021

卷号：132

外文期刊名：ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS

收录：;EI(收录号：20214111006875);Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-85116653278);WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:000710492300002)，SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:000710492300002)】；

基金：This work was supported by the National Social Science Fund of China (Grant No: 17CGL025). Also, the authors gratefully acknowledge the colleagues and friends in the China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing Union University, and Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research for offering the basic data and relevant information.

语种：英文

外文关键词：Ecological land; Tourism growth; Urban encroachment probability curve; Spatial interaction; Sustainable development

摘要：Rapid urban expansion in emerging tourism-oriented cities often leads to substantial encroachment on ecological lands and tremendous environmental pressure. Tourism growth and urban encroachment control are indis-pensable for sustainable development, but their interaction has rarely been reported. Here, 23-years' built-up areas time series with corresponding indicators of Proportion of Land used for Tourism (PLT) are integrated, to explore this interaction and construct Urban Encroachment Probability Curve (UEPC), and to reveals their causation and cycle by Granger analysis. The results show that the probability of encroachment in the next year increases rapidly with the increase of PLT at the urban boundary. When the PLT is between 30 and 35, the probability of encroachment reaches 80%. However, the right shift of UEPC from 1995 to 2018 shows that urban encroachment has become increasingly difficult. An urban encroachment cycle (spatial planning - urban encroachment -tourism growth -population increase -land demand increase -spatial planning) takes at least four years. The monitoring of PLT on the boundary and PLT outside the built-up area has a great role in pre-dicting the place and size of future encroachment. This objective prediction is the reliable basis for sustainable development.