文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：景区客流量微观动态仿真建模与实现

英文题名：MODELING AND IMPLEMENTATION OF MICRO DYNAMIC SIMULATION OF TOURIST FLOW IN SCENIC SPOTS

作者：杨柳青[1];叶青[2];马洪蕊[3]

第一作者：杨柳青

机构：[1]北京联合大学旅游学院,北京100101;[2]北京工业大学经济管理学院,北京100022;[3]防灾科技学院电子科学与控制工程学院,河北三河065201

第一机构：北京联合大学旅游学院

年份：2023

卷号：40

期号：2

起止页码：68-73

中文期刊名：计算机应用与软件

外文期刊名：Computer Applications and Software

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2020】；

基金：北京市教委科技创新服务能力建设项目(KM201811417012)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：客流;仿真;拥堵;微观;景区

外文关键词：Visitor flow;Simulation;Congestion;Micro;Scenic spots

摘要：景区微观客流仿真,通过计算模拟手段,综合景区承载能力和客流量变化,对景区拥堵动态演进过程进行仿真,为相关管理策略决策和分析提供支持。基于离散时间方法提出景区微观客流量动态仿真模型。该模型针对景区游客个人行为建模,将景区的环境作为限制因素,用马尔可夫链的方式,将不同时刻景区的拥堵状态链接起来,形成整个动态演进过程。相比传统分析模型,该方法更加直观、对管理策略制定分析支持更好。通过客流变化对客流的影响仿真验证了模型的有效性,并对景区旅游设施改进和游客行为规范对拥堵的影响进行了仿真分析。
The dynamic evolution process of congestion in scenic spots was simulated by calculating and simulating the changes of the carrying capacity and passenger flow of scenic spots,so as to provide support for the decision-making and analysis of relevant management strategies.This paper proposed a micro dynamic simulation of tourist flow in scenic spots based on discrete time.The model aimed at modeling the individual behavior of tourists in the scenic spot,took the environment of the scenic spot as a limiting factor,and linked the congestion status of the scenic spot at different times in the way of Markov chain,forming the whole dynamic evolution process.Compared with the traditional analysis model,this method was more intuitive and supported the analysis of management strategy formulation better.The effectiveness of the mode was evaluated with simulation experiments derived by different visitor flows.And the impact of the infrastructure and visitor behavior on visitor traffic congestion were also analyzed with this model.