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新冠肺炎疫情以来美欧日货币政策对我国工业经济的影响——基于VAR模型    

The Impact of Post-COVID-19 Monetary Policies of the United States,Eurozone and Japan on China's Industrial Economy—Analysis Based on VAR Model

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:新冠肺炎疫情以来美欧日货币政策对我国工业经济的影响——基于VAR模型

英文题名:The Impact of Post-COVID-19 Monetary Policies of the United States,Eurozone and Japan on China's Industrial Economy—Analysis Based on VAR Model

作者:李能丽[1];王林[2]

第一作者:李能丽

机构:[1]山东省工业和信息化研究院;[2]北京联合大学管理学院

第一机构:山东省工业和信息化研究院

年份:2022

期号:10

起止页码:26-37

中文期刊名:调研世界

外文期刊名:The World of Survey and Research

收录:国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;CSSCI:【CSSCI_E2021_2022】;

语种:中文

中文关键词:货币政策;工业经济;VAR模型

外文关键词:Monetary Policy;Industrial Economy;VAR model

摘要:新冠肺炎疫情以来,为摆脱经济困境,美国、欧元区、日本推行了不限量资产购买、零利率等极度宽松的货币政策,导致全球货币供给过剩、大宗商品市场异常波动、供应链断裂等一系列的外溢效应,冲击了我国工业经济。本文依据VAR模型测度我国工业经济受到的冲击,得出:美欧日货币供应量通过工业生产者购进价格和出口显著冲击我国工业经济增长;在其货币政策启动转向的背景下,我国工业经济又将受到新的冲击。为应对冲击,本文提出相关政策建议。
In the post-COVID-19 period,in order to get rid of the economic difficulties,United States,Eurozone and Japan implement extremely loose monetary policies such as unlimited asset purchase and zero interest rate,which leads to a series of spillover effects such as global money supply surplus,abnormal fluctuation of commodity market and supply chain rupture,impacting China's industrial economy.Based on the VAR model,this paper measures the impact on China's industrial economy,and comes to the conclusion that the money supply of United States,Eurozone and Japan has a significant impact on China's industrial economic growth through the purchase price and export of industrial producers;under the background of the start and turn of their monetary policies,China's industrial economy will be subject to new impacts.In order to deal with the impact,this paper puts forward relevent policy recommendations.

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