文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：互联网扩散与经济增长的关系研究——基于我国31个省份面板数据的实证检验

英文题名：Relationship between Internet Diffusion and Economic Growth: Empirical Research Based on Panel Data of China's 31 Provinces

作者：李立威[1,2];景峰[3]

第一作者：李立威

机构：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院;[2]北京联合大学管理学院;[3]浙商银行南京分行

第一机构：中国社会科学院研究生院,北京102488

年份：2013

卷号：28

期号：3

起止页码：120-126

中文期刊名：北京工商大学学报：社会科学版

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2011】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2012_2013】；

语种：中文

中文关键词：互联网;互联网扩散;经济增长;面板数据

外文关键词：Internet; Internet diffusion ; economic growth; panel data

摘要：根据2003—2011年9年间我国31个省份互联网普及率和人均实际GDP的数据,在单位根检验和协整检验基础上,建立了个体时点双向固定效应模型,对互联网扩散与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:互联网对我国经济增长具有促进作用,这种促进作用在2007年以后逐渐显著;互联网普及率每提高10%,人均实际GDP提高大约1.38%;由于各地工业化水平等发展基础的差异,互联网对地区经济增长的影响程度呈现出明显的区域差异;通过建立滞后效应模型发现,互联网对经济增长的滞后作用在第5年达到最大。
According to the data on Internet user ratio and real GDP per capita in China＇ s 31 provinces during 9 years from 2003 to 2011, based on the unit root test and the cointegration test, this paper constructs an individual time-point bi-direetional fixed effect model to make an empirical analysis on the relationship between Internet diffusion and economic growth. The result shows that the Internet plays a positive role in promoting China＇ s economic growth, with the promoting role gradually significant after 2007. Every 10% increase in Internet user ratio brings an increase in real GDP per capita at roughly 1.38%. Because of the difference in the basis for development such as industrialization level nationwide, the Internet＇ s impact on regional economic growth presents an obvious regional disparity. Through the establishment of lag effect models, it is found that the Internet＇ s lag effect on economic growth reaches the maximum in the 5th year.