文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：京津冀生态韧性时空变化及影响因素分析

英文题名：Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Changes in Ecological Resilience in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Affecting Factors

作者：黄建毅[1];王梦雨[1];袁一太[1];徐婉儿[1]

第一作者：黄建毅

机构：[1]北京联合大学应用文理学院,北京100191

第一机构：北京联合大学应用文理学院

年份：2025

卷号：56

期号：6

起止页码：174-184

中文期刊名：沈阳农业大学学报

外文期刊名：Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University

收录：;北大核心:【北大核心2023】；

基金：国家自然科学基金面上基金项目(42171206,42071159)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：城市生态韧性;城市化;京津冀;地理探测器

外文关键词：urban ecological resilience;urbanization;Beijing?Tianjin-Hebei;geographic detector

摘要：[目的]在全球气候变化与城市化快速发展的背景下,城市生态系统面临诸多挑战,科学评估城市生态韧性及其影响因素对城市可持续发展意义重大。因此,分析京津冀地区生态韧性的时空变化特征及其影响因素尤为重要。[方法]以京津冀城市群为对象,基于“状态—压力—响应”框架构建生态韧性评价指标体系,以生态环境韧性指数作为城市生态韧性表征指标,利用线性回归、泰尔指数和地理探测器模型,剖析了2000-2020年该区域生态韧性的时空变化特征与影响因素。[结果]京津冀城市群生态韧性整体呈显著上升趋势,指数从2000年的0.21增至2020年的0.56,整体由低韧性向高韧性转变;生态韧性空间差异持续扩大,总泰尔指数由0.0180升至0.3350;社会经济因素影响显著,其中单因子人均GDP(q=0.451)解释力最强,各因子间广泛存在交互效应并深刻影响着城市生态韧性,且土地开发强度-城镇化率交互作用(q=0.95)最强。[结论]京津冀城市群生态韧性提升过程中,核心区与非核心区发展失衡矛盾凸显,且其空间分异主要受社会经济因素主导。
[Objective]Against the backdrop of global climate change and rapid urbanization,urban ecosystems face numerous challenges.Scientifically assessing urban ecological resilience and its influencing factors is crucial for sustainable urban development.Therefore,it is particularly important to analyze the spatiotemporal changes and influencing factors of ecological resilience in the Beijing?Tianjin-Hebei region.[Methods]Focusing on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)Urban Agglomeration,this study constructed an ecological resilience evaluation index system based on the Pressure-State-Response(PSR)framework.Utilizing the EERI as the representative indicator of urban ecological resilience,we employed linear regression,the Theil index,and the geodetector model to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of ecological resilience in the region from 2000 to 2020.[Results]The ecological resilience of the BTH Urban Agglomeration showed a significant overall upward trend,with the EERI increasing from 0.21 in 2000 to 0.56 in 2020,indicating a transition from low to high resilience.The spatial disparities in ecological resilience continuously widened,evidenced by the total Theil index rising from O.018 to O.335.The socioeconomic factors exerted a significant influence,among which per capita GDP exhibited the strongest single-factor explanatory power(q=0.451).Extensive interaction effects existed among various factors,profoundly impacting urban ecological resilience,with the interaction between land development intensity and urbanization rate being the strongest(q=0.95).[Conclusion]During the enhancement of ecological resilience in the BTH Urban Agglomeration,the contradiction of imbalanced development between the core and non-core areas became prominent.Furthermore,the spatial differentiation of resilience is primarily driven by socioeconomic factors.